Thesis & Fund I

A proposed $15M first fund for Pakistani software.

Pakistan has exported engineering for twenty years and captured the margin of an hourly rate. The next decade belongs to teams that keep the equity instead.

The argument

Sell the product, not the hour.

Every part of the thesis follows from one observation: the country's engineering capacity is proven and its ownership of the output is not.

Pakistan's IT export line is measured in billions of dollars a year, and almost all of it is services. Services revenue is linear, capped by headcount and priced against the cheapest comparable bench in the world. It builds skill without building assets.

Product revenue behaves differently. It compounds, it carries a multiple, and it accrues to the people who own the company rather than the people who bill for it. The bench that can build it already exists. What has been missing is the first institutional cheque and the operating detail around it.

Two ways to use the same engineer
DimensionServicesProduct
Revenue shapeLinear with headcountCompounds
Gross margin25–40%70–85%
Priced againstThe cheapest bench availableThe value delivered
Who owns the upsideThe clientThe founders
Exit multipleLow single digitRevenue multiple
A working desk lit late in the evening Hours
Live output tracked on a monitor Product
A circuit board photographed in close-up Margin
Two people shaking hands after a meeting Equity
Underwriting

Five questions we have to answer yes to.

The test exists to stop us funding a good team with no path to a second cheque. A no on any one of these is usually a no overall.

A team reviewing figures together at a long table
The room Five questions, asked in the first meeting
The 10xC test
ProofThe question
Hard currencyIs there a credible buyer paying in dollars, pounds or dirhams within twelve months?
Unfair buildDoes building from Pakistan make this materially cheaper or faster, rather than merely possible?
Reachable buyerCan this team reach the buyer without a sales office in the buyer's city?
Narrow wedgeIs the first version small enough to ship in weeks and specific enough to be chosen?
Structural clarityCan the company be held, funded and eventually acquired through a structure a foreign investor recognises?
Proposed Fund I

Small, concentrated, and early.

Figures below are the fund we are building toward. Nothing here is committed capital.

$15M

Target fund size Proposed

$50–250K

First cheque Proposed

20–25

Companies over the fund life Proposed

40%

Reserved for follow-on Proposed

We expect to lead or co-lead the first institutional round, take an information right rather than a board seat at pre-seed, and reserve materially more per company than we invest initially. Ownership targets are a consequence of that construction, not a rule we apply to a founder.

Financial documents and a calculator on a desk
Construction Twenty-odd positions, deliberately concentrated
Two founders talking through a decision
Reserves More held back than first written
Risks

What would make this thesis wrong.

We would rather state these plainly than be asked about them in a first meeting with a limited partner.

Currency and transfer risk

Rupee volatility and repatriation friction affect valuations and exits. We mitigate through offshore holding structures, not by ignoring it.

A thin follow-on market

If Series A investors do not engage with the region, our companies stall at a stage we cannot fund alone. Reserves and early co-investor relationships are the answer.

Talent leaving

The same engineers we back are recruited abroad at multiples of local pay. Equity has to be real, and vesting has to be honest.

Perception discount

Some buyers and investors discount the country regardless of the company. Product quality and reference customers are the only durable rebuttal.

Policy and connectivity

Internet disruption and regulatory change are real operating risks for a software company here.

Too few fundable teams

The thesis needs enough product-minded founders each year to build a portfolio. If that number is smaller than we believe, the fund is the wrong size.

Does your company pass the five?

If you can answer all five, we want the conversation. If you can answer four, we still want it — tell us which one is missing.